Anyone who
participates in discussions about Brexit, especially online, will be familiar with
the recurrent accusation that remainers (aka ‘remoaners’ or ‘remainiacs’ or,
more crudely, ‘butthurt losers’) should ‘just move on’ and accept that they
have lost.
There are
several obvious reasons why that should not and will not happen. The first and
perhaps least important is that it is a hypocritical argument. Eurosceptics
never accepted the 1975 Referendum result – even though it was much more
decisive than the 2016 vote – and agitated successfully to overturn it. As
regards the 2016 referendum, Nigel
Farage, no less, said before the result that if it were 52-48 to remain “this
would be unfinished business by a long way”. Well the result was 52-48, but to
leave. So by the same token it is ‘unfinished business’ for remain. And then
there was that petition to the government to hold another Referendum if the
vote on either side were less than 60% on a 75% turnout. After the referendum
it was signed by millions of remainers – but it had been started
by a leaver in anticipation that leave would lose.
The second
issue is that the Referendum result was not a moment or event from which anyone
can ‘move on’. It was the beginning of a process which will last for decades,
and which will shape UK politics and economics for decades. Not least because
the Leave campaign failed – in fact, refused – to specify what voting leave
meant there can be no acceptance of the result because the meaning of the
result is disputable. Hence the current debate about soft versus hard Brexit.
There can be no ‘getting behind’ the result by remainers when even the leavers
don’t agree what it means. Although even if they could agree there is no real
reason for remainers to get behind the result. This is a national crisis, but
unlike, say, 1939 – to pick a date that will resonate with leavers – it is not
caused by an external threat but has been created internally.
Thirdly, and
increasingly obviously, Theresa May is intent on exacerbating the divisions
between leavers and remainers. One might have thought that the leaderly thing
to do after so divisive a period would be to seek to bring the two sides
together, and to reach out to the losing remain side. In practical terms this
would have meant acknowledging the closeness of the vote and pursuing soft Brexit
as a solution which would not be perfect for the hardcore on either side, but
which called for compromise from each whilst being acceptable to the softcore
on each side.
May’s
persona as a pragmatist during the truncated Tory leadership context might have
led one to expect this. Instead, she appears to see her task not as reaching
out to the vanquished remainers but to the victorious leavers. Although she spoke
at her party conference of “a
country that works for everyone” she had nothing (except implicit insults)
to say to those who voted to remain in the EU. A group which includes most business
leaders, professionals and what might diffusely be called the intelligentsia
and which numbers almost half of those who voted in the referendum. So if May
does not wish to bring remainers in to some kind of national consensus then why
on earth should they do so on their own account?
Britain is
now a country more bitterly divided than I can ever recall. When I meet people
now there is a kind of verbal dance in which we try to work out what side we
are on before we talk freely. It’s far worse than the 1980s when the Miners’
strike polarised opinion, I think because there is much more of a sense of this
being about a long-term split. Munich and Suez were also huge polarisers, but
didn’t endure in the way that this will. It may seem slightly overblown, but
the closest parallel I can think of is the Reformation and its aftermath.
For myself – and I think this is true for many
people I talk to – there can be no ‘moving on’ from this. Britain has embarked
on a culturally, economically, politically and strategically disastrous course
of action. It could just about be rescued, even now, by competent political
leadership but there is no sign of that. Equally, it could be rescued if there
were an opposition party that spoke for remainers, but Corbyn’s Labour are
utterly useless in this respect. So for the foreseeable future the UK will remain
a bitterly divided country and as Brexit becomes a reality those divisions
will become ever more bitter.
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